July 29, 2008 07:10 PM UTC

"Bring Out Your Dead!"..."I'm Not Dead Yet!"

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• by: Colorado Pols

According to The Washington Post blog The Fix, Colorado’s 4th district is now the 16th most likely to switch hands in 2008:

16. Colorado’s 4th district (R): By far the biggest oversight on our most recent Line was the exclusion of this Colorado seat held by Rep. Marilyn Musgrave (R) since 2002. Despite its strong Republican leanings — President Bush won it with 58 percent in 2004 — Musgrave is a consistent underperformer, and faces a well-funded opponent in Democrat Betsy Markey. This is a major weak spot for Republicans. (Previous ranking: N/A)

Musgrave has been counted out before and come back to win by narrow margins, but the conventional wisdom seems to be that 2008 is the year she finally loses. Republican Rep. Cory Gardner is still openly talking about running for CD-4 in 2010 and tells anyone who will listen that Musgrave is a likely loser this time around.

The Rothenberg Political Report also has CO-4 in the “Pure Toss Up” category, with a slight lean for the Democrat.

It has also been rumored that the NRCC told Musgrave that they wouldn’t be doing much to help her this year, but those rumors are often spread to spur candidates to raise more money themselves.